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The World This Week
Baidu, Chang'e and Fujian: The Rise of China's S&T Capabilities in EV, Space and Maritime Sectors
GP Team
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The World This Week #263, Vol. 6, No.17
05 May 2024
Femy Francis, Akhil Ajith and Vetrislevi Baskaran
The Tesla Deal and the Rise of Baidu
Femy Francis
What happened?
On 28 April, Tesla CEO Elon Musk landed in China meeting Chinese politburo where he met with the Chinese Premier Li Qiang discussing Tesla’s growth and future in China. Later, Tesla and Baidu signed a deal for “Full Self-Driving technology in China. Tesla partnered with a domestic company in China for a mapping license before using the FSD technology. Baidu is one of the top 20 entities in China that have been granted top-level qualification with an independent mapping and navigation system and therefore is ideal for Tesla. Chinese Premier told Elon that “Tesla’s presence in China marked a successful case of US-China economic and trade cooperation.”
The deal would provide Tesla with access to Baidu’s mapping and navigation technology and give them Baidu’s license for Tesla’s autopilot Fully Self-Driving software. This is essential for the EV carmaker to launch the self-driving technology. In collaboration, Tesla will kickstart its autonomous driving services with the help of Baidu’s lane-level navigation and mapping services.
What is the background?
First, a brief background on Baidu. Baidu Inc. is an Internet multinational technological company founded in 2000, that has its specialty in providing Internet-related services. The company is said to be the major power behind the Chinese search engine market. The company provides online marketing and internet search solutions. Some of the products the company offers are Baidu Search, Baidu Feed, Baidu Post Bar, Baidu Knows and Baidu Encyclopedia amongst others. In 2023, the company’s revenue was RMB 134.6 billion with a work force of 39.8 thousands.
Second, a brief background to the deal. Baidu offers to aid the Fully Self Driving software for Tesla in China by assisting the autopilot mode in Tesla.. There were reports relating to Tesla’s interest initially in India, and he even confirmed his visit to discuss Tesla’s future in India but cancelled it at the last minute over “heavy Tesla obligation.” The move is widely seen as Tesla trying to cut costs and invest in easier, productive options. Since the deal, the shares of Tesla have risen by 15 per cent an aggregate evaluation of USD 194 billion making it a USD 615 billion company.
What does it mean?
First, the global rise of China’s technology capabilities. Elon Musk’s interest in China also lies in China’s industrial capacity. The latter has been known for their mass manufacturing despite being accused of “overcapacity,” and ruining the market. Chinese manufacturers have established themselves as developed industries with highly skilled workers. China also has one of the world’s largest electronic vehicle markets that provides Musk additional incentive to invest in China. Companies like Baidu are China’s asset that attracts international investments. Their prowess in fields of sophisticated technology makes them sought after.
Second, economic gains trumping geopolitics. Tesla’s policy stands contrary to the US policy of systemically divesting, decoupling and de-risking from China. In recent years the US administration has focused on imposing stringent sanctions against Chinese companies, firms and even individuals. Musk’s tilt towards China stands in line with other European countries that are highly critical of Chinese political practices but willing to look at the vibrant Chinese market and the economic gains it can bring.
Third, the political impact of the rise of technology for China. China’s increasing investment in sophisticated technology and its access to these advanced technologies despite international restrictions is likely to yield international influence. Its advancement in fields of technology can redefine relationships, where one country might observe China as an adversary the companies and firms within the country may look at China as an opportunity for advancement. It has already enticed investors and buyers for its shipbuilding industry, AI technology, navigation and mapping technologies. Baidu’s share in 2024 shot up when there was news that Apple would be working with Baidu’s AI software for its iPhones in China.
Chang’e 6: China’s Far-side Lunar Ambitions
Akhil Ajith
What happened?
On 03 May, China launched its Chang’e-6 lunar probe aboard the Long March-5 Y8 carrier rocket from the Wenchang Spacecraft Launch Site in Hainan Province. This is a part of China’s overall ambitious space program to send a crewed lunar mission by 2030. The space mission will bring back the material from the far side of the moon for scientists to research the moon’s origin.
On 03 May 2024, the chief designer of China’s lunar exploration program, Wu Weiren, stated: “Collecting and returning samples from the far side of the moon is an unprecedented feat.”
What is the background?
First, China’s space program. In April 1970, China launched its first satellite, Dong Fang Hong 1, on a Long March 1 rocket. This launch made China the fifth country to place a satellite in orbit. Between 2010 and 2019, China conducted 207 launches, more than one-and-a-half times the number of launches conducted from 1970 to 2010. Today, China conducts the second-highest number of orbital launches each year. In 2023, China conducted 116 launches, which made it second to the US with 186 launches. It operates a satellite fleet consisting of many communications, navigation, remote sensing, and scientific research satellites. China is one of the three countries, alongside the US and Russia, with independent human spaceflight capability.
Second, China’s Lunar Programme. Known as the Chang’e project, China’s Lunar exploration programme is an ongoing series of uncrewed moon missions by China’s National Space Administration (CNSA). The program encompasses lunar orbiters, landers, rovers, and sample return spacecraft launched using the Long March series of rockets. Later, CNSA announced that the crewed missions would be added to the project by 2030. On 01 October 2007, the first spacecraft of the program, the Chang’e-1 lunar orbiter, was launched. A series of missions were launched to orbit and land on the lunar surface, with the Chang’e-6 being the latest among all.
Third, China's search for the moon's far side. The return of the Chang'e 5 with lunar samples of rocks and soil enabled China to achieve its technological feat on the moon. President Xi Jinping, in a white paper on China's Space Program 2021, said, "to explore the vast cosmos, develop the space industry and build China into a space power is our eternal dream." According to the White Paper, the space industry is a critical element of the overall national strategy, and China wants to uphold the principle of exploration and utilization of outer space for peaceful purposes.
Fourth, China’s space capacity demonstrations. When the Chang’e-5 mission displayed the Chinese flag, the Global Times mentioned that it represented China’s comprehensive strength and technological innovation. Its extended goals to explore Mars and to conduct other interplanetary missions enable China to display its technological prowess and innovation.
What does it mean?
First, space as a medium of China’s economic and scientific development. President Xi Jinping’s speech at the 20th Party Congress in October 2022 identified space infrastructure as a critical component of China’s scientific progress. For China, space has emerged as one of the leading sectors driving rapid and sustainable economic growth to focus on improving science and technology. China’s November 2000 white paper focused on a greater role of space in revitalizing the country with science, education, and social progress. The deployment of satellites resulted in the rapid development of telecommunications, radio broadcasting, and television in China.
Second, China’s search for its space in the Space. China’s launch and deployment of its indigenous space station Tiangong in 2021 and the series of successful Chang-e and Shenzhou missions launches have strengthened China’s efforts to carve out a space for itself. The breakthrough in technologies such as Beidou has helped China become self-reliant regarding communication and navigation capabilities. Also, the development of long-range and powerful rockets has enabled China to deploy its space station and other heavy satellites, which can be used for its intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance capabilities. China’s ambitions to become a global space power by 2045 will be a reality with its huge spending on research and development activities, thus driving it to become a global space power.
The Fujian: China’s third aircraft carrier
Vetriselvi Baskaran
What happened?
On 01 May, according to Xinhua, China's third aircraft carrier, the Fujian embarked on its maiden sea trails from the Shanghai shipyard. It will undergo the primary tests of reliability and stability of its propulsion and electrical system. The Fujian has finished its outfitting, mooring testing, and equipment modifications since its June 2022 launch. The technical specifications for sea trials have been accomplished.
On 01 May, South China Morning reported Yue Gang, a retired People’s Liberation Army colonel saying “power generation and distribution of the steam turbine propulsion system will be tested, along with the pressure endurance of pipelines and valves” in the sea trail. In addition, Military commentator Song Zhongping, a former PLA instructor detailed that assessing accurate testing time period is dependent “including the adaptability of the [propulsion, electrical, navigation and communication] systems.”
On January, the US Congressional Research Service in its report stated: “In a combat situation involving opposing U.S. naval and air forces, Chinese aircraft carriers would be highly vulnerable.”
What is the background?
First, a brief note on Fujian. China's third aircraft carrier began at Shanghai’s Jiangnan Shipyard in 2017, and on 17 June 2022, the carrier was launched in June. It is constructed by the China State Shipbuilding Corporation Limited and named after Fujian province. The Fujian is around 316 meters long and has a total displacement of 80,000 tons. The aircraft carrier is indigenously built and is expected to be stationed with the South China Sea Fleet. According to available literature in the public domain, Fujian is equipped with a sophisticated electromagnetic catapult-launch system and Catapult Assisted Take-Off, which differentiates it from its predecessors. It enhances its potentiality in launching more aircraft with heavier payloads and allowing it to launch more fighter-bombers at one time.
Second, a brief on China’s aircraft carrier programme. In 1985, China started purchasing four decommissioned aircraft carriers for exploratory research: the Australian-built British carrier HMAS Melbourne and the former Soviet ships Minsk, Kiev, and Varyag. According to available reports, the Varyag was then significantly repaired to become the Liaoning, which served as both China's first operational aircraft carrier and a prototype for China's subsequent design amendments. The second, the 70,000-ton "Shandong (Type 002)," is the first to be built domestically after various advancements have been made. It was introduced in 2017 and put into operation in 2019 after undergoing 18 months of sea trials. It operates from Yulin naval base.
Third, a background to China’s shipping industry. China started developing its shipping sector in the 1970s. The shipping industry is mainly controlled by the state-owned companies. The top three include China COSCO shipping corporation Limited, China Merchant Group and the China Shipping Group. According to Global Times reports, China is the largest shipping industry in the world. They produce 96 per cent shipping containers, at most 80 per cent of ship-shore cranes and own seven busiest ports in the world. According to the Centre for Strategic and International Studies, CSIS, China pumped financial support in this sector by 10 per cent to 15 per cent from 2008 to 2018. China is now dominating the shipbuilding sector as it topped the global market in 2022. Support from the government and a commitment towards Innovation and Technology where the resources are allocated by the shipping companies and industries are projected as reasons for China’s success in the shipping industry.
What does it mean?
First, China’s aircraft carrier ambitions. From having no carrier capacity just over a decade ago to having the second-largest carrier fleet in the world, China's People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) has made great progress in building its aircraft carrier fleet. Since the 1970s, the PLAN has expressed interest in operating an aircraft carrier as part of its blue water aspirations.
Second, Chinese aircraft carriers are aimed at extending reach beyond regional borders. The shift to focus on modernizing PLAN into an active defence navy, focusing on the development of advanced aircraft carriers. It is a strategic move towards projecting power beyond Chinese territorial waters and asserting its global influence. Further, it gives a clear indication of China's intent to challenge the existing maritime balance of power in Asia and beyond.
TWTW Regional Round-ups
News from around the World
Akriti Sharma, Rohini Reenum, Padmashree Anandhan, Femy Francis, Dhriti Mukherjee, Shamini Velayutham, Akhil Ajith, Vetriselvi Baskaran and Shilpa Joseph
CHINA THIS WEEK
China: Shenzhou-17 manned spaceship returns to Earth
On 30 April, the Shenzhou-17 manned spaceship returned to Earth at the Dongfeng landing site in North China's Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. The taikonauts Tang Hongbo, Tang Shengjie, and Jiang Xinlin were aboard the Tiangong space station for six months. Xinhua reported that the mission was a complete success. The Shenzhou-17 mission was launched on 25 October 2023, taking over control of Tiangong from the outgoing Shenzhou-16 crew. CMSA spokesperson Lin Xiqiang said that these space missions will help China to implement better flight crew rotation and training.
China: CCP’s holistic revised State Secrets law now extends to private companies like Tencent and Weibo
On 01 May, the Chinese government implemented a revised State Secrets Law aiming to holistically cover National Security issues. The revision now requires companies like Tencent and Weibo to delete any state-sensitive leaked information and requires them to cooperate with the government when probed. These revisions aim to curb the spread of state secrets online in a digital society. The amendment added “internet information” to the list as the distribution channel needs to follow the secrecy provisions. The network operators will now be asked to closely monitor leaks of information and duly remove them from the site. The law also states that the scope of classification will be determined by the National Administration of State Secrets Protection. Additionally, the government employees who now leave their positions will be subjected to a period of “classification separation management period,” under which they will be restricted from finding new employment or leaving mainland China. The revision aims to safeguard state secrets by using science and technology.
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC THIS WEEK
Taiwan: Faces challenges to attend 2024 WHO annual assembly despite Blinken’s support, says Taiwanese Foreign Minister
On 02 May, Taiwanese Foreign Minister Joseph Wu said that Taiwan will face challenges in attending the 2024 World Health Organisation (WHO) annual assembly after the US’s invitation. US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken offered US support and asked WHO to reinstate Taiwan’s invitation. Taiwan attended as an observer in the Who from 2009 to 2016 and was blocked by China after the elections in 2017. The assembly starts after the new President, Lai Ching-te, takes office. Taiwan says that its exclusion from WHO has blocked efforts to fight the COVID-19 pandemic.
South Korea: President Yoon to meet Opposition party leader
On 29 April, South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol will meet the leader of the opposition party Lee Jae-myung of the Democratic Party of Korea. This meeting comes after Yoon failed to secure a majority in the recent National Assembly elections where the Democratic Party came victorious. The loss has rendered the People’s Power Party and its leader handicapped and he would find it difficult to get his policies approved in an opposition majority assembly. The meeting is the first since Yoon took office. President Yoon was advised to re-engage with the party after he shrugged at the National Assembly election result, which further affected his approval rating. The discussion is vital as this would determine if Yoon could convince Lee to approve his policies of tax cuts, easing business regulations, and expanding family support.
Solomon Islands: Foreign Minister Jeremiah Manele to be the new prime minister
On 02 May, the lawmakers selected Foreign Minister Jeremiah Manele as the new prime minister of Solomon Islands. Governor General David Vunagi announced that Manele had won 31 votes compared to opposition leader Matthew Wale’s 18 votes. The general saw the incumbent PM Manasseh Sogavare’s government losing the majority in the parliament, leading to intensive lobbies for independent candidates to select prime minister. Australian PM Anthony Albanese congratulated new PM Manale for his election victory. The election victory comes as former PM Sogovare did not seek re-election and supported Manale for the PM post. His party had built close ties with Beijing in the last five years, and PM Sogovare had signed a security agreement with China in 2022. On 29 April, Malanle said that he would ensure the “same foreign policy basis friends to all and enemies to none.”
SOUTH ASIA THIS WEEK
Nepal: China-India Competition in the Investment Summit
On 29 April, The Kathmandu Post reported that China and India are competing for influence in Nepal and offering different incentives to attract foreign investment and boost economic ties during the third edition of the Nepal Investment Summit. China has announced that Nepali travelers will not need to pay visa fees starting 01 May and that there will be commercial flights to Nepal's two new international airports. Meanwhile, India is focused on making Nepal prosperous through hydro-energy trade. At the third Nepal Investment Summit, the chairman of the China International Development Cooperation Agency (CIDCA) highlighted the progress made in air and road links, border checkpoints, and feasibility studies for railway and transmission lines. China is interested in building the Trans Himalaya All-dimensional Connectivity Network, which was agreed upon during Nepal's Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal's visit to China last September. The government offered 148 potential projects worth nearly Rs 900 billion to foreign and domestic investors, with most related to hydropower. The summit highlighted Nepal's potential for development, including its skilled workforce and low labour costs.
Pakistan: IMF completes second review under 2023 SBA and approves disbursement of USD 1.1 billion
On 29 April, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) gave its approval for the “immediate disbursement of approximately USD 1.1 billion to Pakistan.” The approval came after the completion of the second review under the Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) for Pakistan in a meeting of the board in Washington where all members gave a go-ahead except India which abstained. The approval has brought the total disbursement amount under the SBA to USD 3 billion. Deputy Managing Director Antoinette Sayeh in a statement highlighted the achievements of the 2023 SBA following the IMF decision: “Pakistan’s determined policy efforts under the 2023 Stand- By Arrangement (SBA) have brought progress in restoring economic stability. Moderate growth has returned; external pressures have eased; and while still elevated, inflation has begun to decline. Given the significant challenges ahead, Pakistan should capitalize on this hard-won stability, persevering beyond the current arrangement with sound macroeconomic policies and structural reforms to create stronger, inclusive, and sustainable growth. Continued external support will also be critical.” The IMF also urged Pakistan to protect the vulnerable from the possible impacts of the reforms.
Pakistan: Hundreds of students protest against Israeli aggression in Gaza and condemn the US
On 30 April, hundreds of students from various universities in Lahore held a protest demonstration against Israeli aggression in Gaza, carrying Palestine flags and gathering outside the US consulate. Both male and female students wore keffiyehs (a Palestinian national symbol) in a show of solidarity with the Palestinians and condemned the US for supporting Israel’s actions in Gaza. The Progressive Students Collective (PSC) led the protests, which were attended by students, social and political activists, academics, and artists. PSC spokesperson Ali Abdullah Khan highlighted how “Israel’s aggression has claimed the lives of over 34,000 innocent civilians, including more than 5,000 students and 300 educators, while leaving Gaza’s educational infrastructure decimated.” He condemned the US’ “unconscionable” decision to continue providing military support to Israel, thus “enabling these atrocities to persist unchecked.” Khan added that the protestors wanted to “express solidarity” with counterparts at Colombia University, and called on the “Pakistan government to unequivocally condemn this genocide.”
Pakistan: Regional and global environment discussed at the Pakistan-UK Regional Stabilization Conference
On 02 May, Dawn reported on the ongoing three-day Pakistan-UK Regional Stabilization Conference taking place at the National Defence University where both countries aim to exchange views on “the global and regional environment.” It is aimed at addressing the issues relating to national security, regional peace and stability. The conference was inaugurated by Army Chief General Asim Munir and the UK Chief of General Staff Gen Sir Patrick Sanders. In addition to this, the Inter Services Public Relations mentioned the participation of the UK General Sir Roland Walker and a 30 member UK-delegation headed by Major General Tom Bateman, Standing Joint Force Commander. The conference has widened its focus area from bilateral to regional issues this year. ISPR also revealed that “Both sides discussed matters of professional interest and measures to further elevate bilateral defense relations.
Pakistan: Launches first moon mission ICUBE-QAMAR
On 03 May, Pakistan launched its first-ever satellite moon mission, named ICUBE-QAMAR. It was launched on board China’s Chang’E6 from Hainan, China. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif congratulated the nation and the scientists on the successful launch stating that this was Pakistan’s “first step in space.” Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar also congratulated the team and stated: “Today’s launch from Hainan in China is a good example of countries and organizations coming together for space cooperation and shared benefits.” As per the details from Dr Khurram Khurshid, a member of the Core Committee at the Institute of Space Technology (IST), the satellite has been designed and developed by the IST, Suparco, and China’s Shanghai University. It is pitched to take several pictures of the moon to and will facilitate the country’s moon research programme.
Afghanistan: ISIL claims responsibility for attack on mosque in Heart province
On 29 April, an unknown gunman attacked people in a mosque in western Afghanistan killing six and injuring one. The attack took place in the Andisheh town of Guzara district in Herat province. Tolo News, a local media channel, reported that the mosque belonged to Afghanistan’s minority Shia community. The ISIL (ISIS) which is the “largest security threat in Afghanistan and has frequently targeted Shia communities” claimed responsibility for the attack on 30 April.
CENTRAL ASIA & THE CAUCASUS THIS WEEK
Armenia: IMF reaches staff-level agreement with the government
On 02 May, a staff-level agreement was reached between IMF staff and the Armenian government for the third review under the 2022 Stand-By Arrangement (SBA), which the Armenian authorities regard as a preventive measure. The SBA seeks to assist the government in implementing its reform and policy agenda in order to maintain financial and economic stability as well as robust and long-term growth. GDP growth in 2023 was 8.7 per cent, which was very robust by historical standards. This growth is likely to decline to more sustainable levels of about 6 per cent in 2024, thanks to high levels of domestic consumption and investment. Maintaining macroeconomic stability, increasing tax revenue mobilization to support priority spending, such as refugee integration, fortifying institutional frameworks, and carrying out structural changes to increase productivity and promote more inclusive growth are the top policy priorities.
MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA THIS WEEK
Israel: Turkey and Colombia cut trade and diplomatic ties
On 03 May, due to the "worsening humanitarian tragedy" in the Palestinian Territories, Turkey suspended all trade with Israel. Ministry of Tradecin a statement said: "Turkey will strictly and decisively implement these new measures until the Israeli government allows an uninterrupted and sufficient flow of humanitarian aid to Gaza." Following the initial reports of the limitations, Israel Katz, the foreign minister of Israel, charged Turkish President Erdoğan with operating in a dictatorial manner. On 2 May, President Gustavo Petro of Colombia declared his intention to sever diplomatic ties with Israel because of the latter's Gaza war, which has drawn the alarm of human rights organizations and other experts who believe it may be equivalent to genocide.
Syria: Eight injures in Israeli airstrike
On 02 May, according to the Ministry of Defense of Syria, eight Syrian military soldiers were injured by an Israeli airstrike on the outskirts of Damascus. This incident is the most recent in the conflict in Gaza. Ministry, in a statement, said: "The Israeli strike, launched from the occupied Golan Heights towards one of the sites in the vicinity of Damascus."
Yemen: Houthi rebels target UK vessel in Red Sea
On 30 April, as part of their ongoing campaign to disrupt transportation along the vital maritime route, the Houthi rebels in Yemen damaged a ship on Monday with a missile attack. As per the British military's United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations Center, the strike occurred near Mokha, Yemen. The UKMTO reported that while the ship crew was unharmed and en route to their next port of call, the ship sustained damage in the attack. In the area, the agency asked vessels to proceed with caution. UKMTO stated: "There was "an explosion in close proximity to a merchant vessel."
Liberia: President commencing country’s first war crime court
On 03 May, President Joseph Boakai signed for a new establishment of the country’s first war crimes court. He stated: that the country has "endured downpours of agony" and it would "help ferret the causes and effects of the violence" and bring about "justice and healing." However, critics argue that it will remind the past traumas experienced before. The move was welcomed by the international actors also. The US Charged Affaires in Liberia Catherine Rodriguez expressed support for the court. Earlier, the country had taken such decisions as the setting up of the Truth and Reconciliation Commission (TRC) which was bogged down with political dislikes.
Niger: Russian troops deployed along with the US troops
On 03 May, Russian troops have been deployed in Airbase 101 at Niger’s International Airport in Niamey where the US troops were located. This development has taken place amid Niger ordered the US troops to withdraw. Anyway, the US Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin said the Russians are not posing any risk. She detailed: “The Russians are in a separate compound and don't have access to US forces or access to our equipment.” Niger decided to turn to Russia for fighting Islamist Jihadists and informed the US, that 60 Russian troops would be deployed.
EUROPE THIS WEEK
Spain: Prime Minister withdraws his decision to resign
On 29 April, Spain’s Prime Minister, Pedro Sanchez announced to continue his role despite the accusations against his wife. The move comes after Begona Gomez came under allegations of “peddling influence and corruption in business.” Following this, Sanchez warned about re-considering his decision to continue his position. Later, indicating the support from his party and the public he confirmed to stay. He particularly blamed the centre-right Popular Party (PP) and Vox party for leading the campaign against him. He also added: “For too long we've let this filth corrupt our political and public life with toxic methods that were unimaginable just a few years ago... Do we really want this for Spain?”
Scotland: First minister resigns over coalition difference on climate goals
On 29 April, Scotland’s First Minister, Humza Yousaf announced his resignation ahead of no-confidence votes which could lead to the collapse of the Scottish National Party (SNP) led government. This was triggered by when cooperation agreement between SNP and Green Party. According to Yousaf, the impact of ending the Bute House Agreement was unexpected and stated that his resignation would help in building back the equation. He said: “My hope was to continue working with the Greens in a less formal arrangement as the SNP moved into a new phase of minority government… I clearly underestimated the level of hurt and upset that caused Green colleagues.” The clash between the groups sparked over climate change and Yousaf was found to have neglected Scotland’s goal of carbon emissions by 75 per cent. No support from the opposition and no lead through the minority government, resulted in the resignation.
Europe: Meta under investigation by the EU over infringement of content modification
On 29 April, Politico on launching investigations on Facebook and Instagram over “potential infringement of content-moderation” regulations. The case is expected to focus on issues relating to Meta managing ads, and political ads and assess the suspected breach of the Digital Services Act (DSA). This comes after an earlier Politico report on a Russian campaign to influence the European Parliament by promoting pro-Kremlin narratives through ads from fake accounts. The European Commission has given time till October for Meta to respond to the material posted relating to a Hamas attack. The EU has also demanded information on its algorithms, deepfakes and Meta’s new ad-free subscription model.
Italy: Prime Minster Meloni to run for European Election in June
On 28 April, Italian Prime Minister, Giorgia Meloni announced her candidacy at a party event at Pescara, Italy, for the European Elections as the lead candidate of her ruling party Brothers of Italy. Her move of using her popularity to boost the chances of their party to win is for a greater goal of pushing the left to the opposition so that the centre-right will rule Europe. Meloni’s party already tops the latest polls in Italy and is predicted to get 27.2 percent of the vote. Both Elly Schlein, leader of the PD, and Antonio Tajani, the current foreign minister who is from the conservative Forza Italia party, have entered the race for the European Parliament.
THE AMERICAS THIS WEEK
Colombia: President announces plans to cut diplomatic ties with Israel
On 01 May, Colombia’s President Gustavo Petro announced plans to cut diplomatic ties with Israel in light of the war in Gaza, saying countries could not be passive in the face of the crisis which many human rights advocates have described to be a genocide. Petro announced: “Here in front of you, the government of change, of the president of the republic, announces that tomorrow we will break diplomatic relations with the state of Israel for having a government, for having a president who is genocidal.” He has been one of the harshest critics of Israel since the beginning of the war, having earlier compared Israel’s actions in Gaza to that of Nazi Germany against the Jews.
The US: Japan and India labelled as “xenophobic” by President Biden
On 02 May, US President Joe Biden labelled Japan and India alongside China and Russia as countries that are unable to reap the economic rewards of migration as they are “xenophobic” and hostile towards foreigners. He explained: “One of the reasons why our economy’s growing is because of you and many others. Why? Because we welcome immigrants.” He then stated that because they “don’t want immigrants,” the four countries are “having troubles” economically, and asserted that “immigrants are what makes us strong.” These comments came as a surprise due to the US’ strong relations with India and Japan. Three weeks ago, when Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida was at the White House, Biden said both countries enjoyed the “same values, the same commitment to democracy and freedom to dignity.” Following this, on 3 May, the National Security Council spokesman John Kirby told reporters that Biden was trying to say that the “US is a nation of immigrants, and it’s in our DNA.” He also affirmed that the US’ “allies know very well how much the president respects them, values their friendship, values their contributions.”
Newsmakers This Week
The arrest of Binance founder, Chinese scientist eviction for publishing Covid sequence and China's Shenzhou-17 returns
Sayeka Ghosh, Vetriselvi Baskaran, Diya Madhavan and Sim V
Changpeng Zhao: Founder of Binance arrested
On 30 April, in a courtroom in Seattle, Changpeng Zhao, the former CEO of the once-dominant cryptocurrency exchange Binance, was sentenced to four months in prison. Zhao, known as "CZ," pleaded guilty late last year to money-laundering violations and admitted breaking US anti-money laundering laws. The 47-year-old billionaire, once considered the most powerful figure in the crypto industry, stepped down as Binance's chief executive in November. In addition to the four-month prison term, Zhao was fined 50 million USD, while Binance was slapped with a massive 4.3 billion USD penalty.
Zhao becomes the second crypto executive, after FTX's Sam Bankman-Fried, to be sentenced to prison amid heightened legal scrutiny of the largely unregulated digital asset industry. Zhao's downfall is a cautionary tale about the consequences of prioritizing profits over compliance in an industry that has long operated in a regulatory grey area. Prosecutors stated that under Zhao's leadership, Binance operated on a "wild west" model, failing to report over 100,000 suspicious transactions due to poor internal controls, including transactions with designated terrorist groups like Hamas, al-Qaeda, and ISIS. Attorney General Merrick Garland said, "From the very beginning, Zhao and other Binance executives had engaged in a deliberate and calculated effort to profit from the US market without implementing the controls that are required by US law." While Zhao's four-month sentence pales compared to Bankman-Fried's 25-year term for fraud, it nonetheless represents a significant fall from grace for the crypto mogul, whose Binance empire once stood as the industry's most dominant force.
Zhang Yongzhen: Chinese scientist evicted for publishing Covid Sequence
On 30 April, virologist Zhang Yongzhen initiated a sit-in protest for being evicted from his laboratory because of publishing the coronavirus sequence without approval. Zhang, the first scientist to publish a COVID-19 sequence in China, wrote in an online post that he and his team had suddenly been given a notice that they had been evicted from the lab, the latest in the series of major setbacks since he published a sequence in January 2020 without the state approval. After gaining widespread traction via social media coverage, Zhang mentioned that he and his team were "tentatively" allowed to resume work in the lab, and he thanked all the netizens for their support.
The ordeal began when Zhang and his team sequenced the virus on 05 January 2020 and made an internal notice exhorting the Chinese authorities to be cautious of its potential to spread. At that time, Zhang had not promulgated the sequence. On 06 January, Zhang's lab was closed for a temporary period by China's top health official. Later, the foreign officials learned that Zhang still needed to make the sequence public, prompting public calls for publication. As a response, Zhang promulgated the coronavirus sequence on 11 January 2020, despite a lack of permission from the state authorities.
Zhang's move prompted health authorities worldwide to start testing on the virus, unravelling the reality that the virus was propagating outside the country's borders, which triggered the use of test kits, vaccinations, and disease control measures. Zhang was afterwards awarded several accolades for his findings. However, this also led to additional scrutiny of his lab, and later on, Zhang was removed from a post at the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention and detained from collaborating with his former partners, which affected his research to a vast extent. This move from the Chinese authorities denotes how the state continues to pressure and constrain the scientists in conducting their research on the coronavirus.
Shenzhou-17: China's Spaceship Returns
On 30 April 2024, China's Shenzhou-17 crew returned to Earth after spending six months on the Tiangong space station. They landed at the Dongfeng landing site in North China's Inner Mongolian Autonomous Region. The crew of Shenzhou-17 was the youngest ever to fly to the Chinese space station, with Commander Tang Hongbo being 48 and astronauts Tang Shengjie and Jiang Xinlin being 34 and 35, respectively. According to China's Manned Space Agency, the three astronauts are healthy.
According to the China Manned Space release, Shenzhou 17 was set for the mission to carry out experiments and tests of space science and application payload, perform extravehicular activities and cargo-out tasks from the airlock module, and constantly evaluate the function and performance of the space station assembly. The three astronauts were succeeded by the Shenzhou-18 crew, who arrived a week before their return. With this operation, China completed the third crew rotation at its space station. China's National Space Administration also plans to launch the Chang'e 6 lunar probe to collect samples from the moon's dark side in early May.
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Abigail Miriam Fernandez
Impending famine in Tigray, should make Ethiopia everyone's problem
Anu Maria Joseph
Too late and too little is Ethiopia's international problem
Sankalp Gurjar
Africa's Ethiopia Problem
Apoorva Sudhakar
Ethiopia's Tigray problem is Tigray's Ethiopia problem
Lokendra Sharma
The future of nuclear energy looks bleak
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
Five reasons why Afghanistan is closer to a civil war
Mohamad Aseel Ummer
Migration in Africa: Origin, Drivers and Destinations
Dincy Adlakha
The new three-child policy is two decades too late
Dincy Adlakha
Loud Echoes of the National Security Law in China
Joeana Cera Matthews
Farfetched goals on pandemic recovery, climate action and economic revival
STIR Team
Rare Earths and the Global Resource Race
SDP Scholar
The Rise and Reign of Ransomware
Gurpreet Singh
India and the geopolitics of supply chains
Chetna Vinay Bhora
Spain, Morocco and the rise of rightwing politics in Europe over immigration
Vibha Venugopal
The return of Taliban will be bad news for women
Udbhav Krishna P
Revisiting the recent violence: Three takeaways
Joeana Cera Matthews
For the Economist, Taiwan is the most dangerous place. The argument is complicated
Apoorva Sudhakar
15 of the 23 global hunger hotspots are in Africa. Three reasons why
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
The US decision to withdraw is a call made too early. Three reasons why
Lokendra Sharma
Learning from Cuba's vaccine development efforts
V S Ramamurthy and Dinesh K Srivastava
An energy mix of renewables and nuclear is the most viable option
Lokendra Sharma
Deadly second wave spirals into a humanitarian disaster
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
The US-Taliban Deal: One Year Later
Akriti Sharma
The Quad Plus and the search beyond the four countries
Apoorva Sudhakar
India's Endgames, Roles and Limitations in Quad
Sukanya Bali
Tracing the Quad's evolution in the last two decades
Apoorva Sudhakar
Ethiopia: Five fallouts of the military offensive in Tigray
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
Afghanistan: The recent surge in targeted killing vs the troops withdrawal
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
In Honduras, a move towards a permanent ban on abortion laws
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
Civilian protests vs military: Three factors will decide the outcome in Myanmar
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
Trump’s Climate Change legacy: Disruption and Denial
Apoorva Sudhakar
Trump’s Iran legacy: Maximum pressure, minimum results
N Manoharan and Drorima Chatterjee
Five ways India can detangle the fishermen issue with Sri Lanka
IPRI Team
Coup in Myanmar and Protests in Russia
D Suba Chandran
The PDM differences, Gwadar fencing, and Lakhvi's arrest
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
Nagorno-Karabakh: Rekindled fighting, Causalities and a Ceasefire
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
Thailand: For the pro-democracy protests, it is a long march ahead
Harini Madhusudan
Brexit: A year of the UK-EU transition talks and finally, a Deal
Apoorva Sudhakar
Ethiopia: The conflict in Tigray and the regional fallouts
Aparaajita Pandey
The Americas: Top Five Developments
Teiborlang T Kharsyntiew
Europe: Top five developments
Sandip Kumar Mishra
East Asia: Top Five developments in 2020
Harini Madhusudan
Outer Space in 2020: Missions, Privatization, and the Artemis Accords
Sukanya Bali
5G, Huawei and TikTok: Four trends in 2020
Sumedha Chatterjee
COVID-19: How the world fought in 2020
Harini Madhusudan
The Vaccine Rush: Expectations vs Realities
Harini Madhusudan
Open Skies Treaty: The US should not have withdrawn, for five reasons
Savithri Sellapperumage
Kamala Harris makes history
Mallika Devi
China is against the Quad. Five reasons why
Srikumar Pullat
Space of Tomorrow: The Need for Space Security
Tamanna Khosla
Japan: New Prime Minister, Old Challenges
Vaishali Handique
Not just regime change: Women and protest movements in Sudan
Sneha Tadkal
Technology in contemporary global protest movements
Chavindi Weerawansha
Students as agents of change: Protest movements in Zimbabwe
Anju Annie Mammen
“Unveiling”: Women and protest movements in the Middle East
Harini Madhusudan
‘The Revolution of Our Times’: Protests in Hong Kong
Samreen Wani
Lebanon: Can Macron's visit prevent the unravelling?
Harini Madhusudan
The Legacy of Shinzo Abe. It is Complicated.
Boa Wang
Two Sessions in Beijing
Boa Wang
How China fought the COVID-19
N. Manoharan
Is COVID-19 a Bio-weapon from China?
Prof PM Soundar Rajan
Is there an overlap of 5G Networks and COVID hotspots?
Rashmi Ramesh
Will COVID-19 provide a new agenda to the NAM?
Harini Madhusudan
Iran's New Military Satellite: Does it violate the UNSC 2231?
Jenice Jean Goveas
Epidemics through History
Sanduni Atapattu
Preventing hatred and suspicion would be a bigger struggle
Chavindi Weerawansha
A majority in the minority community suffers, for the action of a few
Chrishari de Alwis Gunasekare
The Cardinal sermons for peace, with a message to forgive
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
Who and Why of the Perpetrators
Natasha Fernando
In retrospect, where did we go wrong?
Ruwanthi Jayasekara
Build the power of Co-existence, Trust, Gender and Awareness
N Manoharan
New ethnic faultlines at macro and micro levels
Asanga Abeyagoonasekera
A year has gone, but the pain has not vanished
Jenice Jean Goveas
In India, the glass is half full for the women
Fatemah Ghafori
In Afghanistan, there is no going back for the women
Lakshmi V Menon
The decline in terrorism in Pakistan in 2019
Rashmi Ramesh
The EU and the Arctic: The interest is not mutual. Why?
Rashmi Ramesh
Iceland, Denmark and Norway: Small is Big in the Arctic
Harini Madhusudan
The Non-Arctic powers: Interests of Japan and South Korea
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
Malaysia: New PM, Old Challenges
Lakshmi V Menon
Pakistan to remain “Grey”; North Korea and Iran in “Black”
Rashmi Ramesh
Trump's India Visit: Optics, Substance and Rhetoric
Kabi Adhikari
The controversial MCC Nepal Compact
Malini Sethuraman
ISIS post Baghdadi: Will there be another Caliphate in 2020?
Aarathi Srinivasan
Climate Change: The Economy of the Indian Ocean Region in 2020
Prathiksha Ravi
Israel and the Middle East: The New Alliance Plans in 2020
Padmini Anilkumar
Middle East: The Return of Russia in 2020
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
Sudan and Algeria: Road to Democracy in 2020
Lakshmi V Menon
Syria: ISIS Decline, US Retreat and the Return of Russia in 2020
Harini Madhusudan
The US-China Trade Dispute: Towards further disruptions in 2020
Parikshith Pradeep
The US under Donald Trump: The Fall of an Empire in 2020
Vivek Mishra
After Soleimani assassination: Options for the US
Sukanya Bali
Iran, Iraq and the US: Who wants what?
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
Old problems to persist with no solutions in the near term
Aashiyana Adhikari
Indian and Chinese investments in Nepal: Managing asymmetry
Shailesh Nayak | Director, National Institute of Advanced Studies (NIAS)
Blue Economy and India: An Introduction
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
North Africa in 2019: A year of protests, with some positive results
Sukanya Bali
Hong Kong in 2019: China's New Achilles Heel
Harini Madhusudan
The US-China Trade Dispute in 2019: Towards a thaw in 2020?
Parikshith Pradeep
The US in 2019: Trump rollsout a template for a global American retreat
Rashmi Ramesh
The Arctic Littorals: Iceland and Greenland
Harini Madhusudan
The Polar Silk Route: China's ambitious search in the Arctic
GP Team
Syria: Who wants what?
Harini Madhusudan
Violence in Hong Kong: Will the protests end?
Rashmi Ramesh
Is Catalonia Spain’s Hong Kong?
D. Suba Chandran
Why an Arctic foray is essential for India
Parikshith Pradeep
Russia's Polar Military Edge
Nidhi Dalal
Protests rock Chile, Bolivia and Haiti
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
Will prosecuting Suu Kyi resolve the Rohingya problem?
Lakshman Chakravarthy N & Rashmi Ramesh
Climate Change: Four Actors, No Action
Sukanya Bali
Brexit: Preparing for the Worst Case
Lakshman Chakravarthy N
5G: A Primer
Rashmi Ramesh
From Okjökull to OK: Death of a Glacier in Iceland
Sukanya Bali
Challenges before Boris Johnson
Parikshith Pradeep
The Hong Kong Protests: Who wants what
Harini Madhusudan
The Hong Kong Protests: Re-defining mass mobilization
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
ASEAN Outlook on the Indo Pacific: Worth all the Hype?
Mahesh Bhatta
Monsoons first, Floods next and the Blame Games follow
Titsala Sangtam
Counting Citizens: Manipur charts its own NRC
Vivek Mishra
Can Hedging be India’s Strategy?
Lakshmi V Menon
Amidst the US-Iran standoff, Saudi Arabia should be cautious
Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer
For Russia, it was big power projection
Harini Madhusudan
For China, it was trade and a temporary truce
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
For Japan, it was commerce and climate change
Sourina Bej
For the US, it was trade, tariff and talks
Titsala Sangtam
Iran, US and the Nuclear deal: Europe in the middle?
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
Modi's Colombo Visit: Four issues to watch
Raakhavee Ramesh
Higher than the Himalayas: Pakistan and China
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
Across the Himalayas: Nepal and China
Mahath Mangal
The Russian Resurgence: Is the US supremacy waning?
Mahath Mangal
San Francisco wants to ban, Kashgar wants to expand
Jerin George
Espionage or Investigative Journalism?
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
The Huawei Controversy: Five things you need to know
Mahath Mangal
Why the world needs to look at Yemen
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
The Central Asia Connector
Harini Madhusudan
An Under-represented East Asia
Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer
Africa Embraces the Belt and Road
Sourina Bej
It’s Europe vs EU on China
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
Sudan: Between Democracy and another military rule
Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer
Responses and Inspiring Lessons
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
Thailand: Between Elections and Instability
Sourina Bej
Two Sessions in 2019: Four Takeaways
Lakshmi V Menon
The End of ISIS Caliphate?
Harini Madhusudan
For China, its a sigh of relief
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
For Vietnam, its a big deal
Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer
For Japan, No Deal is Good Deal
Sourina Bej
For South Korea, a costly disappointment
Harini Madhusudan
No deal is better, but isn't it bad?
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
The Other Conflict in Rakhine State
Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer
Yemen: Will Sa'nna fall?
Harini Madhusudan
Sinicizing the Minorities
GP Team
US, South Korea and Thailand
Lakshmi V Menon
The Qatar Blockade: Eighteen Months Later
GP Team
Yemen, Venezuela and US-China
Sourina Bej
Maghreb: What makes al Shahab Resilient?
Harini Madhusudan
US-China Trade War: No Clear Winners
Abhishrut Singh
Trump’s Shutdown: Five Things to Know
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
Myanmar: Will 2019 be better for the Rohingya?
D. Suba Chandran
Bangladesh: The Burden of Electoral History
Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer
US and China: Between Confrontation and Competition
Mahesh Bhatta | Centre for South Asian Studies, Kathmandu
Nepal
Nasima Khatoon | Research Associate, ISSSP, NIAS
The Maldives
Harini Madhusudan | Research Associate, ISSSP, NIAS
India
Sourina Bej | Research Associate, ISSSP, NIAS
Bangladesh
Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer | Research Associate, ISSSP, NIAS
Afghanistan
Harini Madhusudan
China and Japan: Renewing relations at the right time
Sourina Bej
The INF Treaty: US withdraws to balance China?
Harini Madhusudan
The Khashoggi Killing: Unanswered Questions
Lakshmi V Menon
US and Israel: Trump's Deal of the Century
Nasima Khatoon
The New Maldives: Advantage India?
Harini Madhusudhan
To NAFTA or Not: Trump, Mexico and Canada
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
Malaysia’s China Moment: The Mahathir Gamble
Sourina Bej
BIMSTEC: A Bay of Good Hope?
Young Scholars Debate
India, Imran Khan and Indo-Pak Relations
Siddhatti Mehta
Does Brexit mean Brexit?
Oishee Majumdar
Factsheet: China’s Investments in Africa
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
The 8888 Uprising: Thirty Years Later
Harini Madhusudhan
The Tariff War: 'Stick of Hegemony' vs Vital Interests
Druta Bhatt
FactSheet: Shangri La Dialogue 2018
Rahul Arockiaraj
Immigrants as the “Other”: The Social and Economic Factors in the US
Divyabharathi E
Is Trump-Putin Summit a setback for the US?
Apoorva Sudhakar
India and Bangladesh: The Long Haul
Divyabharathi E
Quad as an alternative to the BRI: Three Main Challenges
Oishee Majumdar
FactSheet: India-Bangladesh Relations
D. Suba Chandran
Trump meets Putin; will it cost NATO?
Sourina Bej
Trump and the NATO: One Block, Different Views
Gayan Gowramma KC
Now, the United States withdraws from the UNHRC
Siddhatti Mehta
Will China be able to sustain its Dominance?
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
Myanmar: Why won't they do anything for the Rohingya?
Harini Madhusudan
The Idea of an US Space Force: Strategic Calculations
Apoorva Sudhakar
Afghan Peace: Reality or Illusion?
Hely Desai
Looking beyond Trump: Is the US declining?
Manushi Kapadia
Is China using its soft power to become superpower?
Lakshmi. V. Menon
Middle East: Has Russia chosen Israel over Iran?
Miti Shah
G7: Why Trump wants Russia in?
Hely Desai
FactSheet: G7 Summit
Siddhatti Mehta
The Panmunjom Declaration: “Tip of the Iceberg”
Druta Bhatt
Iran N-Deal and the Trans-Atlantic Divide
Manushi Kapadia
US and China: Towards a Trade War
Miti Shah
Palestine: US triggers new tensions
Divyabharathi E
The "Indo-Pacific Command": What's in the name?
Harini Madhusudan
Trump’s Tariff Strategy: Targetting Adversaries and Allies
Hely Desai
Trump-Kim Summit: Three Likely Outcomes
Apoorva Sudhakar
The Lebanon Pawn: Will it change after elections?
Lakshmi V Menon
Israel, the Game Changer?
Samreen Wani
Deciphering Turkey's External Push
Divyabharathi E
China and Russia: The New Alignments
Ann Maria Shibu
Can India afford to lose Maldives to China?
Dhruv Ashok
Why Maldives is important to China?
Lakshmi V Menon
ISIS and the Yazidi victims: Why the World should stand up?
Harini Madhusudan
US- China Tariff Face-off : Five questions
Jamyang Dolma
Why is Free Tibet important for India
Divyabharathi E
Arctic: The Strategic Significance
Lakshmi V Menon
Do we need the Quad?
Samreen Wani
Why Trump’s Iran exit is a big mistake?
Jamyang Dolma
Inter Korean Summit: Will it work?
Dhruv Ashok
The Fishermen Issue between India and Sri Lanka
Apoorva Sudhakar
Bangladesh's Economy: Decoding a Success Story
Ann Maria Shibu
Why India should not pull out of the Indus water treaty?
Divyabharathi E